MC Companies' Plan to Buy $500 Million Of Real Estate
Ken McElroy ShowMay 21, 202400:29:4440.83 MB

MC Companies' Plan to Buy $500 Million Of Real Estate

Learn about MC Companies' latest investment opportunity at this link: https://mccompanies.com/newdeal

Ken McElroy is joined by Charlie Koznick, Chief Investment Officer of MC Companies. They talk about MC Companies' long term plan of investing in over $500 Million of real estate.

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Visit Ken's Bookstore: https://kenmcelroy.com/books
 
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ABOUT KEN: Ken is the author of the bestselling books The ABC’s of Real Estate Investing, The Advanced Guide to Real Estate Investing, and The ABC’s of Property Management. With over two decades of experience in real estate investing, Ken McElroy is passionate about sharing the good life by helping real estate investors grow and prosper. This podcast is a place for Ken to discuss numerous topics connected to real estate investing, including finance, budgeting, the entrepreneur mindset, and creating passive income. Ken offers a wealth of personal experiences, practical advice, success stories, and even some informative setbacks, all presented here to educate and inspire. Whether you’re a new or seasoned investor, the information and resources on this channel will set you on a path where you and your investments can thrive.
 
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[00:00:00] Welcome to the Real Estate Strategies podcast.

[00:00:02] Let's get right into this episode.

[00:00:04] So we own over 10,000 apartments, 300 employees, and here's our plan to do over

[00:00:10] 500 million in transactions in the next 12 months.

[00:00:14] Welcome Charlie.

[00:00:15] Thank you very much.

[00:00:15] Can't wait to chat with you.

[00:00:17] So Charlie's our CIO.

[00:00:19] He is in charge of our strategy and, uh, you look at what, 10, 15, 20 deals a week?

[00:00:26] Yeah.

[00:00:26] Depends.

[00:00:26] I mean, it changes, right?

[00:00:28] When it's on a, in a, in a frenzied market, we were looking in 2021, 2022,

[00:00:32] you're looking at 40 deals a week.

[00:00:34] It's a little bit slower now.

[00:00:35] So we're probably analyzing 10, 15 deals a week.

[00:00:38] And by the way, Charlie bought over 30,000 units in five years.

[00:00:42] So he knows what he's doing and, uh, I think we'll hit it.

[00:00:46] What do you think?

[00:00:46] Yeah.

[00:00:46] I mean, that's the, that is, you know, when the time is right, you

[00:00:50] gotta be in the place to strike.

[00:00:51] That's the, that's the key.

[00:00:52] I, you know, I like to, to flow with where I think the best timing is to buy.

[00:00:58] And when it's the best time to buy, you just go and then you move from there.

[00:01:01] So 500 billion in acquisitions of the next 12 months.

[00:01:06] I think that's super doable based on everything that we've.

[00:01:09] So what makes a good deal versus a bad deal?

[00:01:12] You know, I think it's kind of a, I try to look at them in a financial aspect

[00:01:16] and then kind of the storyline behind it, right?

[00:01:19] There's gotta be a reason, something about the project outside

[00:01:22] of just the numbers that make you want to own this piece of real estate.

[00:01:26] Um, right.

[00:01:27] You, you run your financial model.

[00:01:29] That's kind of phase one.

[00:01:30] Make sure that based on what you're seeing in the deal, it hits return

[00:01:34] hurdles that you think a, you hit your kind of boundaries of what you want to

[00:01:40] get and then, you know, are your assumptions the correct assumptions to get you there?

[00:01:45] And this is what got everybody in trouble.

[00:01:48] Yes.

[00:01:48] So this is a key point guys.

[00:01:50] Like it's so simple.

[00:01:52] Like when you're taking money from investors, they want to return and

[00:01:56] when the property doesn't return, then obviously you haven't delivered.

[00:01:59] So it's quite simple.

[00:02:01] Yeah.

[00:02:01] It's gotta, we have to get past just what does the equity want?

[00:02:05] Right.

[00:02:05] Correct.

[00:02:05] Yeah.

[00:02:06] And that's, and that's the first piece and that's the technical and the financial

[00:02:08] piece, and then the second piece that we look at is the deal and the story that it

[00:02:12] presents, right?

[00:02:14] I think value add gets thrown around a lot.

[00:02:17] Um, but I think it can mean a lot more things than just new

[00:02:20] countertops and new cabinets.

[00:02:21] What, what is the story that makes you be able to have value creation

[00:02:25] somewhere inside of that project?

[00:02:27] It can be on a 1970s deal.

[00:02:29] It also can be on a brand new construction deal.

[00:02:30] There's value creation everywhere.

[00:02:32] So you want to walk the deal, see what the story is.

[00:02:35] Is there something about the neighborhood?

[00:02:37] Um, I'm a real big believer in right.

[00:02:39] We've all lived in apartments at some point in our lives.

[00:02:42] So it may not be in a complex that you would live in now, but how does that feel?

[00:02:46] Like what does a tenant see?

[00:02:47] Cause what you see is what they see.

[00:02:49] And that makes a difference, right?

[00:02:50] Uh, uh, 16 IRR on a deal that I'm not really madly in love with the ingress

[00:02:56] and egress, or I don't think the clubhouse is set up correctly, or I think the

[00:03:00] floor plans are pretty terrible and the units are 700 square feet, but they feel

[00:03:03] a lot smaller, like I could walk to 700 square foot units and that's why you

[00:03:06] got to be in them and one feels really great.

[00:03:09] And one feels really tiny.

[00:03:11] So it's those little pieces along the way that are the art form of it.

[00:03:15] Um, what does a consumer want?

[00:03:17] Correct.

[00:03:17] Yeah.

[00:03:18] That's so important piece.

[00:03:19] A lot of people forget.

[00:03:20] Yeah.

[00:03:20] So two 16 IRRs aren't the same, right?

[00:03:23] They're, they're both 16 IRRs, but they're not the same.

[00:03:26] One's a better than the other one.

[00:03:28] The one's more achievable, the other one.

[00:03:29] So that's the, there's the, there's the science and then there's the art.

[00:03:32] So a lot of people threw out a value add a lot, right?

[00:03:36] And you touched on it, you know, value add.

[00:03:39] The old value add might be dead right now.

[00:03:41] Like you're not buying old stuff and, and remodeling the interiors and then

[00:03:47] jacket rates because we have a, let's talk about the supply that's hitting

[00:03:52] right now, right?

[00:03:53] Cause there's like a million units being delivered in the next 18 months, let's

[00:03:57] say all over the place, by the way, and not specifically, so you have to watch

[00:04:00] where that, where that's heading.

[00:04:02] But because of that, when you have all that supply hitting a market,

[00:04:06] it disrupts pricing period.

[00:04:08] So you're not going to buy something old or renovated and try to get something,

[00:04:12] you know, a bit, uh, you know, significantly higher rent.

[00:04:14] Right.

[00:04:15] So, however, so this is when I think like the professionals like yourself, like

[00:04:20] when you, I mean, you bought 30,000 units in five years, there's other ways besides

[00:04:27] that, what I would call the layup of the renovated interior to provide value add.

[00:04:31] Right.

[00:04:32] So we're heading into this period of time where the experienced and wise investor

[00:04:37] is going to actually deliver in a value add way that the others didn't know because

[00:04:41] you know why the market covered their butt.

[00:04:43] Yeah.

[00:04:43] And it was just a burn and it was also just a burn and turn.

[00:04:45] It's like, let's get as many of these classic units turned as fast as we can.

[00:04:50] I don't, I don't care if my occupancy dips to 80%.

[00:04:53] I'm on a floating rate loan from a bridge lender who doesn't have any markers that

[00:04:57] I need to hit in terms of that.

[00:04:59] Um, and so he was, that was just pump as much volume as you can.

[00:05:03] There's going to be mismanagement along the way.

[00:05:05] I don't care cause I'm just, I'm getting my 250, $300 rent lifts.

[00:05:09] I'm just going to turn this to somebody else in 18 months.

[00:05:11] So there was just a lot of less focus on the little things and it was just a much

[00:05:16] bigger like plow and go.

[00:05:19] That's the last three years.

[00:05:20] That's what we saw.

[00:05:21] And the, the, the frustrating piece was we were bidding on all those projects.

[00:05:26] Like guys, we were right there.

[00:05:28] Like we were full on, like we had the exact same numbers, the exact same rent

[00:05:34] rolls, talking to the exact same sellers and the exact same brokers and a lot of

[00:05:39] best and finals.

[00:05:39] I don't even know how many best compilers where we had last year.

[00:05:42] A lot.

[00:05:42] 30, 40, 50 maybe.

[00:05:44] Yeah.

[00:05:45] Crazy.

[00:05:45] What that means is there might be 30, 40 bids on something and then they get it

[00:05:50] down to, let's say five and then they, they say, you know, the dry powder, the

[00:05:54] charcoal, sharpen your pencil.

[00:05:56] Um, so we have kind of a high and a low and then, and then the next thing is, is

[00:06:00] we come in again and then of course they're putting the screws to us.

[00:06:04] They want you to sharpen your pencil into a knife.

[00:06:07] Their knife.

[00:06:07] Yeah, exactly.

[00:06:09] To stab yourself with.

[00:06:10] Yeah, exactly.

[00:06:11] Right.

[00:06:11] So then once it started going like $500,000 non-refundable, no due diligence.

[00:06:19] Oh, it's got, it got.

[00:06:20] We're like what?

[00:06:21] We saw, I saw 5 million non-refundable day one on, you know.

[00:06:28] Guys think about this.

[00:06:29] 1980s product that could have significant deferred maintenance and it was day one.

[00:06:34] And the only out was environmental title, which you got kind of through

[00:06:37] your due diligence docs right away.

[00:06:38] So let's go skip over this.

[00:06:40] What?

[00:06:41] Yeah.

[00:06:41] Well, this is what we were dealing with at the time.

[00:06:43] So, so as this, as a buyer, you have to look at these sites.

[00:06:47] So whoever did that 5 million down day one, that means as a seller, you've got 5

[00:06:52] million, you just, you can, you can actually roll that right into your bank

[00:06:56] account regardless that they perform or not.

[00:06:58] Correct.

[00:06:59] And also they haven't stepped on the property.

[00:07:01] Correct.

[00:07:02] So they've toured, well maybe they've stepped on it, but they've done a very

[00:07:05] glossy tour of like, yeah.

[00:07:07] A tour with their broker.

[00:07:09] Correct.

[00:07:10] You didn't see any of the things would actually cost you.

[00:07:11] Yeah.

[00:07:12] Yeah.

[00:07:12] Problems.

[00:07:13] Yeah.

[00:07:13] So that's what we just came out of.

[00:07:15] And unfortunately that's a lot, what a lot of people invested

[00:07:18] in during that period of time.

[00:07:20] So all that slowly changed when interest rates started to go up.

[00:07:25] Yeah.

[00:07:25] What?

[00:07:26] A year and a half ago.

[00:07:27] Yeah.

[00:07:27] And of course we're still the, you know, we're still actually trying

[00:07:32] to buy during this period of time.

[00:07:33] I mean, it's down from 20 to 25 a week, I guess, down to 10 or 15.

[00:07:38] And and so now what's happened is I think finally the sellers expectations have

[00:07:44] changed.

[00:07:45] Absolutely.

[00:07:45] Right.

[00:07:46] Oh yeah.

[00:07:46] Nonrefundable day one is no longer, it's great.

[00:07:48] And it's a great way to still go win a deal, but it is no longer, it used to be

[00:07:52] a necessity.

[00:07:53] If you didn't have it, you were not going to be awarded the deal.

[00:07:56] We had to do it many times and I hated it, you know, because basically means that

[00:08:01] you don't have a look, you know, and if there's anything wrong, like imagine,

[00:08:05] like I remember one time where we had a half a million up, let's say, um, and

[00:08:10] uh, it was refundable and, uh, we found a half a million dollar roof problem.

[00:08:15] Yeah.

[00:08:15] Okay.

[00:08:16] Well, if you're the seller and you have a half a million nonrefundable, the

[00:08:20] seller is going to say pound sand.

[00:08:22] Yeah.

[00:08:22] Right.

[00:08:23] Yep.

[00:08:23] But in this particular case, because it's refundable, the sellers

[00:08:27] willing to work and they have construct knowledge of it now.

[00:08:29] So the next time they have to, if, if it doesn't work out and either not, if they

[00:08:32] don't negotiate with you, then the next person knows about it as well, which will

[00:08:35] probably be the $500,000 hit to their purchase price.

[00:08:38] So they might as well work with you because it's what's actually happening on the

[00:08:42] property.

[00:08:43] So there's a lot of disruption in the market right now.

[00:08:46] Yep.

[00:08:46] A tremendous amount.

[00:08:47] I mean, we're hearing every day, right?

[00:08:49] I'm hearing from the LPs, you're hearing it from the brokers, you know, what a

[00:08:53] Charlie used to run acquisitions for a large company.

[00:08:56] Now he runs it here.

[00:08:57] He's our CIO.

[00:08:58] But you now are meeting with all these brokers.

[00:09:01] They've been in our office a lot the last few months, right?

[00:09:04] What are they saying?

[00:09:05] What are they seeing in the market?

[00:09:06] I think it depends on the two classes, right?

[00:09:09] The, you know, your class A versus your class B and C.

[00:09:11] So class A we're seeing a lot of product come online.

[00:09:15] And so there's some developers that just want to take their chips off the table.

[00:09:18] They're not, they're merchant builders, right?

[00:09:20] So they're not meant to hold the deal long-term.

[00:09:23] So that's most of the volume that we're seeing right now is going to be in your

[00:09:27] newer product.

[00:09:28] Not a lot of movement in the B and C space, slowly starting to come, but their

[00:09:33] values are so depressed that a lot of people can't sell.

[00:09:35] So I don't think we've had any kind of price discovery on that yet, but that wave

[00:09:40] is coming.

[00:09:41] Yeah.

[00:09:41] And so I think there'll be a ton of opportunities.

[00:09:44] I think, you know, you always want to look to de-age your portfolio a little bit,

[00:09:48] but I think there'll be opportunities along the way as well in that distressed

[00:09:52] stuff that I wouldn't want to be a long-term owner of it, but I could probably,

[00:09:55] I can take the reins of it for a couple of years, you know,

[00:09:58] work it through the course correction and then, and then dispose of it.

[00:10:01] That's one of our issues is, you know, Ross and I, you know, you, as you know,

[00:10:04] we started off by mid eighties, you know, cause we were younger.

[00:10:08] Mid eighties wasn't old when we got started.

[00:10:11] Right. Yeah. But now that stuff, cause we're holders, you know, it's,

[00:10:14] it's getting older and, and we've turned it a couple of times.

[00:10:17] We refinanced and cashed out a few times. And, and, um, you know,

[00:10:21] and, and you know, it's, it's just time.

[00:10:24] It's time to move it into some of the newer product, right? Correct.

[00:10:27] And so it's also a good time to be selling some of that stuff because right now

[00:10:33] the market's kind of in flux, right? Yep.

[00:10:36] And especially if you have product like, like ours,

[00:10:38] I would say we own a lot of product that we've been long-term owners of.

[00:10:41] So we have fixed rate debt on it.

[00:10:43] So when we are selling because we want to de-age our portfolio,

[00:10:47] we think this is an opportunity to maybe move it into newer product at a better

[00:10:51] basis than you've ever seen in, or you haven't seen in a very long time.

[00:10:54] And when the, when the market rebounds, that stuff will rebound quicker.

[00:10:58] But we, I think, you know,

[00:10:59] it's an opportune time for maybe move some stuff that you're not actually

[00:11:03] distressed on, right? Because when the distressed stuff comes,

[00:11:06] your story of, Hey, really long-term ownership, quality run product,

[00:11:10] that gets lost in the shuffle of all the distress and you get taken,

[00:11:14] you're decently, you're really well run, decently maintained like 80 stuff,

[00:11:18] right. That's like just solid,

[00:11:19] really good product will get lost in that shuffle and you'll lose your pricing

[00:11:23] power when you're in the mix with a bunch of junk deals.

[00:11:26] Right. That's true. Yeah. As, as you start to see this stuff being repriced,

[00:11:30] we're already seeing well below replacement costs.

[00:11:34] Yes. Right. That's where the opportunity that's again, in our,

[00:11:37] in our plan to get to the 500 million, a lot, I mean,

[00:11:41] a vast majority of that 90% of that is moving,

[00:11:43] is taking advantage of institutions are not quite back in the market yet.

[00:11:48] They're not,

[00:11:50] they want to see a little bit more stability just because they've got 400 bosses

[00:11:54] and nobody wants to be the one that like to them,

[00:11:57] they don't lose anything by like, Hey, we missed, we, we,

[00:11:59] if they miss the bottom and they catch it when it's 20 grand up,

[00:12:02] that's better for them and their careers than buying it.

[00:12:05] It goes down 10 and then goes back up. Right.

[00:12:07] If you can be a private buyer who's got a lot more flexibility and runway,

[00:12:11] you can take advantage of opportunity to get deals that you normally right in a,

[00:12:15] in a frenzied market, you'd have no,

[00:12:17] you have no ability to get it cause they're coming in with a seven IRR all cash

[00:12:21] close in 10 days. Right? So this is a,

[00:12:23] we see it as a really unique opportunity for private buyers to come in and take

[00:12:27] advantage and buy this really well built quality product. Um, because we,

[00:12:32] you know, we're looking at,

[00:12:33] we don't need to make our money in the first three years. It's, we,

[00:12:36] we see we can make a significant profit for our investors in the second half of

[00:12:40] that investment period.

[00:12:41] That's the cool part about this business. You know,

[00:12:44] they're more like a cruise ship, you know, moving along and they're hard.

[00:12:47] It's hard to stop. Also hard to start. Correct.

[00:12:50] Where we're more like a speedboat. Correct. We're coming in and, yeah. And, uh,

[00:12:54] but there's a window, right? Like you might start off for a while,

[00:12:58] but then after a while and the cruise ship will just, yeah, right, right.

[00:13:02] So there's a little bit of a window here where there's disruption.

[00:13:05] There's disruption with loans.

[00:13:07] There's this disruption with equity and property management.

[00:13:11] Now let's talk about that.

[00:13:12] Cause I think the next two years are just going to be horrible for property

[00:13:16] management. Yeah. You know, a lot of trading out deals, you know,

[00:13:20] we're already starting to see it. I was,

[00:13:21] I met with a guy this morning actually and uh, at the gym I saw him and he's like,

[00:13:26] Oh my gosh. Like you think about it,

[00:13:28] if a developer or a lender is losing a deal or let's say a lender is taking it

[00:13:33] back or developers losing a deal,

[00:13:34] they're going to a third party management company.

[00:13:37] So the third party management companies are going to be really busy.

[00:13:40] They're already starting to get busy because the last thing the letter is going

[00:13:43] to do is say, Hey, you've defaulted. Um, you know,

[00:13:46] you go ahead and manage us through this tough, tough time. Right? Yeah.

[00:13:49] So what do you see? That's part of the disruption that part of the reason why some

[00:13:54] of these deals are in really good shape for us to buy, I should say,

[00:13:57] or I should say bad shape, um, is because of the management.

[00:14:01] Management kind of glossed over, got glossed over.

[00:14:04] Yeah. That was part of the, that's part of the,

[00:14:06] everybody was just in this, I will value at in turn classics. Yeah.

[00:14:11] That that piece. And then there was so many, um,

[00:14:14] groups or companies that have been formed in the past five years that they saw

[00:14:21] as they were scaling,

[00:14:23] they wanted to scale with them and through property management.

[00:14:26] So you have a lot of infantile groups that have only seen from a property

[00:14:30] management standpoint, have only seen an upswing. They've never,

[00:14:33] they've never managed through anything other than wait on my rent rolls.

[00:14:36] Just don't turn $500 a unit per month.

[00:14:39] So I think that's where a lot of the disruption is going to be is you're going

[00:14:42] to get a lot of newer property management companies that are tested in ways

[00:14:46] they've been tested. So did they put the right people in the right seats?

[00:14:51] Or were they just putting people in seats because they were on this exponential

[00:14:54] growth pattern and it was just, you know, fill, fill, fill.

[00:14:58] You see it in every industry, right? It's like,

[00:15:00] that's why there was the tech dip last year.

[00:15:03] All of a sudden all these job cuts because Google and all these companies just

[00:15:06] were like higher, higher, higher, higher, higher, higher, higher salary,

[00:15:09] salary, salary. And then when there's the slowdown or there's a course correction,

[00:15:13] you've got to now,

[00:15:14] you've got too many seats and not too many too many seats or too many butts and

[00:15:18] too many seats are not the right butts and not the right seats.

[00:15:20] And so I think that'll be the biggest disruption is that you're going to have a

[00:15:24] lot of untested, unseasoned management companies.

[00:15:27] Which is the opportunity. And that's kind of what I wanted to say. So, you know,

[00:15:32] imagine you guys have all been to like a restaurants that are run really well,

[00:15:36] restaurants that are not run well. It's the same thing.

[00:15:38] So when a consumer goes in someplace to have a choice and,

[00:15:42] and that turns into higher vacancy,

[00:15:45] that turns into rents that are to market, that turns into concessions,

[00:15:49] that turns into delinquencies, that turns into unmanaged expenses.

[00:15:54] All of those things are great reasons to buy. Correct.

[00:15:59] That's the value creation outside of the generic term of value add that's been

[00:16:04] used for the last five years.

[00:16:05] So this next two years is going to be the year of property management. Yes.

[00:16:09] Because what also I'm hearing is that a lot of these lenders,

[00:16:14] you know, not with us, you know,

[00:16:16] cause we've had plenty of conversations with them.

[00:16:18] The first thing they say is, well, you know,

[00:16:22] we need to get rid of the management company or we need to turn the management

[00:16:25] company or you need to fire yourself and turn the management company.

[00:16:29] Luckily after 20 some years of doing this in our business here,

[00:16:34] we have extremely solid management company. Yes. Right.

[00:16:37] So that weathered the storm and seen all this stuff before. It's never come up.

[00:16:41] It doesn't come up because we're recognized as some of the better managers out

[00:16:45] there.

[00:16:47] It's interesting cause I would say a year,

[00:16:49] year and a half ago because we were getting deals,

[00:16:53] we started to focus on operations internally cause we said, okay,

[00:16:58] this cruise ship is, is going to be dead in the water soon. Yep. Right. Uh,

[00:17:02] the, the way the market was going, all this rent growth and all this stuff.

[00:17:05] And then the rates started going up. We started to turn inward and started to,

[00:17:10] you know, um, shore up if you will. You dug in, uh,

[00:17:14] why don't we talk about some of the ins kind of,

[00:17:16] that's kind of under the hood stuff. Like,

[00:17:19] but it's important because we said in one year we just want to be at a position

[00:17:24] where we're completely managed as best we can. I know last,

[00:17:29] I looked our, I think our occupancy for our whole company was 94.88%. Yeah.

[00:17:34] Which is why, which is for the whole company. Yeah. Right.

[00:17:38] But let's talk about some of the things we did internally cause you and I met a

[00:17:42] lot about that.

[00:17:42] Yeah. I think again, you're,

[00:17:45] when you're in that frenzied of,

[00:17:47] you're seeing such significant rent growth while you turn units, um,

[00:17:52] either just classics that are just turning over or renovating, you know,

[00:17:57] I think you're so focused on that.

[00:17:59] A lot of stuff in that moment ends up getting third partied out cause you're

[00:18:04] just, you need, it's a, it's a, it's a time management, right?

[00:18:07] It's like where's the best use of my time.

[00:18:09] And right now the best use of my time is turning these units and going,

[00:18:12] that's what my team should be focused on.

[00:18:14] So a lot of stuff on the expense side tends to maybe get vended out a little

[00:18:17] bit. Um, you get a, and you get a little bit,

[00:18:20] your focus is not on the being as little as trim and lean as you need to be.

[00:18:25] Um, and I think that is where you,

[00:18:27] we saw that coming a little bit earlier.

[00:18:30] And so we decided immediately to start turning that inside to make sure that we

[00:18:33] were all buttoned up on that piece so that when the cruise liner comes through,

[00:18:38] we already have our life jacket on.

[00:18:39] I know the thing is, but let's talk about just a few things you did.

[00:18:43] I mean, you were on the phone with like real page and yardy and you went,

[00:18:47] you physically flew to each project. You had people go around.

[00:18:52] We shop all the markets.

[00:18:53] Well, and because we,

[00:18:54] and this is also the piece of having your in-house management,

[00:18:57] your availability to data, right? Of all the deals we're underwriting that we,

[00:19:02] you know, you save all of that. You have that. So you can say, okay,

[00:19:06] you can walk to your team and say, Hey,

[00:19:08] I have the 40 deals around you and I know what they're operating at.

[00:19:12] And we have some outliers on either side, but like, this is kind of our benchmark.

[00:19:16] This is what we're seeing in the market and either we are beating it and we can

[00:19:19] be even better or we're behind it. And this is where we kind of need to,

[00:19:22] to work on it. So.

[00:19:23] Yeah. It's almost like a, like when you're taking a test, you got,

[00:19:27] you get to see everybody else's test. Correct. I mean, cause like what he's,

[00:19:31] what Charlie's saying is let's say we have a property in Dallas

[00:19:35] and we like the market and it's doing well.

[00:19:38] We're looking at properties around it. And so we're getting data,

[00:19:42] we're getting real operating numbers, real rent rolls, real information,

[00:19:46] real rents, real concessions, real, you know, it's just incredible.

[00:19:50] So we have a pure look under the hood. Yeah.

[00:19:52] It's a pure look of being able to look at how is this property operating one

[00:19:56] block away, one mile away, two miles away. And so with that information,

[00:20:02] gosh, it's just started well over a year ago. Yeah.

[00:20:05] We started fine tuning our own stuff. Right.

[00:20:08] And I know you were on the calls, you know,

[00:20:11] dialing in and by the end of last year we wanted all our market rates exactly

[00:20:16] correct. Yes. Right. So that all happened. Yep.

[00:20:20] And so then we know our true loss to lease. In other words,

[00:20:23] the potential inside of our rent roll to be able to raise rents at current

[00:20:27] market. Yes. Right.

[00:20:28] And we've done an incredible job of being able to do that and be at the

[00:20:31] occupancy we're at, right. We were able to do that without,

[00:20:34] because we got ahead of the curve,

[00:20:36] we were able to achieve either our high occupancy. A lot of times,

[00:20:40] they're there at the cost of each other. But because we got ahead of it,

[00:20:44] we were able to have rates where we want them without sacrificing in occupancy.

[00:20:51] And it never comes up now. Like, and so obviously Shannon is just, you know,

[00:20:55] she's been on a couple of times. She's our director of management.

[00:20:58] She's just a wizard and her whole team. Right.

[00:21:03] And so now we're kind of focused on the expenses, which are a little bit of a,

[00:21:07] you know, jump ball. Well, yeah, cause you're set, right.

[00:21:10] It's set between two things. One's controllable and one's uncontrollable.

[00:21:13] There's some stuff you just, there's, there's not a lot you can do about them.

[00:21:17] Right. Your utilities, taxes, insurance.

[00:21:21] You have a little bit more of control of insurance just because where you set

[00:21:23] premiums and things like that. But so you have,

[00:21:26] there's some currents you're swimming against that are a lot harder.

[00:21:29] And then there's some that are in your control and you're swimming down current

[00:21:32] and it's just, can you do it?

[00:21:33] Right, right. So this,

[00:21:36] this long explanation is only to say this is precisely how you find value at.

[00:21:41] Yeah. So before you could say, Hey, this old, this old sled,

[00:21:46] I'm going to put some money inside of the unit.

[00:21:49] I'm going to put new appliances and paint it and do all this stuff.

[00:21:52] And I'm going to get a hundred, $150, $200 more rent.

[00:21:55] But now it's actually looking at the data.

[00:21:59] It's actually looking at the rent roll.

[00:22:00] It's actually looking at the expenses with all the data we have around it and

[00:22:04] saying, okay, inside of this, you know,

[00:22:08] mildly poorly managed property that we believe that, you know,

[00:22:12] there's all these inefficiencies that we can fix. Right?

[00:22:15] Yeah, correct. And that's how we get to our 500 million.

[00:22:17] Yeah. Yeah. So, so, um, so with that,

[00:22:20] what are some of the best value add things that you've seen from buying all

[00:22:25] those units that, that you were able to buy, uh, to be able to, you know,

[00:22:29] increase the value?

[00:22:31] Yeah. I think, um,

[00:22:35] understanding what services are out there so you can make this the best tenant

[00:22:39] experience for your residents. Um,

[00:22:43] I tend to think that you don't always have to charge for it, if that makes sense.

[00:22:47] Like there's a lot of people that just put a lot of fees on it. I mean,

[00:22:50] there's like fee heavy on all these different things that the tenant has their

[00:22:54] rent and the pisses off the tenant. They show up and they're like,

[00:22:56] you advertise your rent at 1600. But by the time I actually get my monthly bill,

[00:22:59] it's two grand. It's 1915. Ridiculous.

[00:23:03] But I think you can provide those and have that as a service, which then you are,

[00:23:08] you, there's a lot of value in like getting a renewal, right?

[00:23:10] Cause then the unit, it's just like having an employee for a long time.

[00:23:14] If you can, you, there's a value in having that person stay in that unit.

[00:23:18] So if you can provide services, you may not get it.

[00:23:21] You may be charging less than your competitors,

[00:23:22] but you have a happy tenant who wants to stay.

[00:23:25] You can slowly move their rents on them. They can keep them with the market,

[00:23:28] but you've got somebody there that you don't have a unit down for, you know,

[00:23:32] they leave that muted maybe down for a month, three weeks. That's a longer,

[00:23:35] longer, right?

[00:23:36] Yeah. Plus a concession to come in. And I think this is an interesting point.

[00:23:40] A lot of people always focus on the customer that they don't even have yet.

[00:23:45] A lot of marketing dollars, try to get people in and traffic. By the way,

[00:23:48] this is a systemic problem in most businesses.

[00:23:51] We have a whole program here for resident retention.

[00:23:55] You're better off spending money and taking care of the people that are your

[00:23:59] clients, your customers today. And, and, uh, so, you know,

[00:24:03] we're talking to them six months out before their,

[00:24:06] their leases up and literally have a whole scripted plan to try to

[00:24:11] keep them to renewal. Yeah. Right.

[00:24:14] Because a stable cashflow is better than something that's vacant,

[00:24:19] that you're trying to fill. Because when you're trying to fill it,

[00:24:21] you got to spend marketing dollars, got to spend maintenance dollars.

[00:24:23] There's oftentimes concessions given up front.

[00:24:26] So it just all falls to the bottom line.

[00:24:29] And these are all the things that you, that we can see now.

[00:24:32] They're all little nuances that most of the inexperienced syndicators just can't

[00:24:36] see.

[00:24:37] Well, and again, right? The more people that renew,

[00:24:39] that helps your occupancy stay up, which means then on the vacant units you have,

[00:24:42] you have less, I mean, it's just this step, right?

[00:24:44] It's this waterfall and cascading thing where you have really good renewals.

[00:24:48] That means you have less units available,

[00:24:50] which means that on the new rents going out,

[00:24:52] you don't have to follow the market as much on concessions. And because you

[00:24:55] don't, you're not, if you have a bunch of empty units,

[00:24:57] then you're just kind of throwing whatever you can at the wall to get butts in

[00:25:01] bed. And when you don't have that issue that helps you, right, your,

[00:25:04] your higher occupancy, which then allows you to charge a little bit,

[00:25:07] keep your rents where you need them to be, right?

[00:25:09] You're not panicking and just trying to like cut, cut, cut and slash.

[00:25:12] Right, right. So before we wrap up, there's two things I want to talk about.

[00:25:16] The first one is a limitless, as you know, we'll have our whole team there,

[00:25:21] right? You were there last year. It's going to be incredible, right?

[00:25:24] So let's talk a little bit about that.

[00:25:27] Yeah. So I went to the one last year.

[00:25:29] It was my first cause I'd just come back to MC. This was my first one.

[00:25:32] It was just, it was great.

[00:25:34] It was just a great people and great minds getting together to kind,

[00:25:38] to sit around and discuss what they're seeing in the world and then have great

[00:25:43] speakers that you get advice from. But just even the gap, like there's the,

[00:25:47] you go to a lot of events where the panelists are great, but like,

[00:25:49] but that's it.

[00:25:51] This is a great panelist and a great people attendees and you could learn from

[00:25:55] the attendees, but just having conversations outside of the events,

[00:25:58] outside of the speakers you have, you have, I,

[00:26:00] I learned a ton while being there.

[00:26:02] You'll bring your whole team. So you got the investor relations team,

[00:26:06] all the property managers there. We got property in Texas.

[00:26:09] It's going to be in a Jerry can put that up real quick.

[00:26:12] That's at the Gaylord Texan this year on the 29th through the 31st.

[00:26:16] So that's going to be a flipping blast.

[00:26:20] And then let's talk about at this at limitless, I think,

[00:26:24] Charlie, there's going to be a lot of discussion about what's next, right?

[00:26:29] Cause a lot of people, as Buffett says, you know,

[00:26:33] you don't see who's swimming naked until the tide goes out. Right.

[00:26:36] The tides out. Yes. Wouldn't you say?

[00:26:38] Yeah. It's it, it, well, maybe waist high.

[00:26:42] It's it's it's yeah. It's like right at the beltline.

[00:26:46] Yeah. Right. Right. So this could be interesting timing because here we are in

[00:26:49] May limitless is in August. So right now the tides at the,

[00:26:53] at the waistline and it's headed out. Yes. Right. For sure guys.

[00:26:59] So what are you seeing just moving forward?

[00:27:02] Like what does the next six months look like? What markets do you like?

[00:27:06] And we'll just wrap up there.

[00:27:07] Yeah. I think obviously the bad has a lot to do with when,

[00:27:13] I think the tide goes out no matter what the fed does. It just,

[00:27:17] it will happen quicker.

[00:27:18] It just depends on when it's going to happen and what they're doing.

[00:27:20] So they, some of the pricing in 2021 and 2022 got so high that,

[00:27:26] that even if the fed cut 25 basis points two or three times there,

[00:27:30] those people still aren't getting out. So it's happening.

[00:27:35] Like any sort of movement,

[00:27:37] it takes longer to get here than you expect it to. And then when it does,

[00:27:40] it happens quicker than you expect it to.

[00:27:43] I think there's going to be continued to be some class a that is really good

[00:27:47] product and really good locations that you're going to get at a really good

[00:27:50] basis. I think that really is the opportunity.

[00:27:52] And then this kind of the first wave of,

[00:27:55] I think the B product that was way overpaid for us. You're going to,

[00:27:59] that's what you're going to start to see.

[00:28:01] I mean we've already seen it a little bit in the last month or so uptick.

[00:28:04] Like we in the first three months of the year, we saw none.

[00:28:07] Like there wasn't an eighties deal on the market and now there's a two or three.

[00:28:11] They ran out of cash. Yeah. So it's happening.

[00:28:14] I just think you're going to start to see that wave.

[00:28:16] Now guys, just put it in perspective. So like,

[00:28:20] like a, we'll just pick on Phoenix. We might as well.

[00:28:23] What was mid eighties trading for a year ago?

[00:28:28] A year and a half. Well at the peak.

[00:28:30] So 2022 February was your peak pricing, right?

[00:28:35] That was the stuff that was,

[00:28:37] if it was just closing the end of their listing period and offers are being made

[00:28:40] in February, that was your peak peak. You were over 300,000 a unit.

[00:28:44] Okay. And right now that same product, exact same property would be what?

[00:28:51] I don't know because nothing's traded yet.

[00:28:53] High 100 high one hundreds.

[00:28:56] You're looking at really well located class a product in the Phoenix Metro at

[00:29:02] your like 300 to 290 to 300 a door.

[00:29:05] So there are the best of the best is already below is already 20 to 40 below what

[00:29:10] eighties product was trading for.

[00:29:11] So we can,

[00:29:12] we can easily say that almost everything is at least a hundred thousand a unit

[00:29:17] less. Correct. Right? Yep. That's a fact. Fact.

[00:29:19] That's where we are. Yep. Sweet. So you'll start to see that stuff happen.

[00:29:23] Oh, that's good stuff. Yeah.

[00:29:24] Thank you for listening to this episode of the real estate strategies podcast.

[00:29:29] If you liked what you heard,

[00:29:31] please give us a five star review on iTunes and let us know what you thought of

[00:29:35] today's episode. Thank you. And we'll see you next week.